Gold Rises After Weak Factory Data in China, Europe


London: Gold edged higher on Monday, extending its recent rally on worries about global economic growth and hopes for easier monetary policy after weak factory data in Asia and Europe.

China’s official measure of manufacturing in January fell to the lowest since mid-2012 while factory growth across the Eurozone slowed as incoming orders showed no meaningful increase.

“That China data was disappointing, very weak in both manufacturing and non-manufacturing, which coupled with the ongoing turmoil on global markets and uncertainties about growth going forwards have helped gold to get above the $1,115/20 resistance level,” said Robin Bhar, head of metals research at Societe Generale in London.

Spot gold added 0.4 per cent at $1,122.18 an ounce by 1103 GMT (4:33 p.m. in India). Bullion gained 5.4 per cent last month, its largest gain since January 2015.

Spot gold touched a 12-week high of $1,127.80 on Wednesday, after the Fed said it was closely watching the global economy and financial markets and their impact on the US economy.

Weaker fourth-quarter US economic growth underpinned hopes that the Federal Reserve would slow the pace of future US rate increases, aiding gold by cutting the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and keeping a lid on the dollar.

US gold for April delivery rose 0.6 per cent to $1,123.10 an ounce.

Holdings of the largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund (ETF), New York’s SPDR Gold Trust, increased about 4 per cent in January, the most in a year.

“There are a lot of bullish factors out there, but critical levels are approaching and that will be an acid test for the gold market,” Mr Bhar added.

Gold may run out of steam at key resistance of $1,130/35, where medium- and long-term downtrend lines converge, he said.

Societe Generale sees gold averaging at $1,040 in the first quarter and $955 in the last quarter of the year.

Hedge funds and money managers boosted their bullish bet in COMEX gold to a 12-week high in the week to January 26, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed on Friday.

“The latest CFTC data (is) showing longs building and shorts closing positions. However, the net long fund position in gold is still 70 percent below the 12-month high,” Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ, said in a note.

Spot silver rose 0.5 per cent to $14.33 an ounce, platinum slipped 0.2 per cent to $869.04 and palladium was off 0.6 per cent at $495.70.