Cotton output may fall 4.7% due to scant rainfall, pink bollworms: CAI

production in 2018-19 is likely to fall 4.7 per cent from the previous season to 34.8 million bales, as scant rainfall and an attack of pink are expected to squeeze crop yields, the head of a leading trade body told Reuters.

The drop in output could limit exports from the world’s biggest producer of the fibre amid rising demand from top consumer China and in turn support global prices, which are hovering near their lowest level in more than nine months hit last week.

“In Gujarat, we are expecting a big drop in production due to dry weather,” said Atul Ganatra, president of the Association of India (CAI).

Gujarat, the country’s top producing state, received 28 per cent lower rainfall than normal in the June-September monsoon season, according to the India Metrological Department.

The western state’s fibre output is estimated to drop 14.3 per cent from a year earlier to 9 million bales in the new marketing season that started on October 1, he said.

In Maharashtra, the country’s second-biggest cotton producer, output is expected to ease to 8.1 million bales from 8.3 million bales due to an attack of the pink bollworm pest, Ganatra said.

have adopted genetically-modified seeds known as that are resistant to bollworms, but it has not stopped the infestations.

Pink consume the fibre and seeds inside a cotton plant’s boll, or fruit, and yields fall.

Gujarat and Maharashtra account for more than half of the country’s total

“Due to less production exports are likely to reduce and import is likely to increase,” he said.

Pakistan, China, Bangladesh and Vietnam are key buyers of Indian cotton.

In 2017-18, India exported 6.9 million bales of cotton.

Demand for Indian cotton is robust this year from China as a trade war is prompting the world’s top consumer to avoid imports from the United States.

Scant rain to dent cotton output, exports: CAI

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